Herrestads vs Motala Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland Norra Götaland - 11 Sunday, June 7, 2026 11:00

Herrestads PPG 1.60

VS PENDING

Motala PPG 0.80

Home + BTTS· +1.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Herrestads face Motala in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Herrestads a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Motala 35%, so Herrestads are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Herrestads and 1.7 for Motala (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Herrestads are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.80 for Motala. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +1.1%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.5%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -4.3%

Draw 22.0%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -13.8%

Away 34.5%

Odds: 2.75 EV: -5.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.6% Odds: 1.53 -1.2%

Over 3.5 42.1% Odds: 2.30 -3.2%

BTTS 63.5% Odds: 1.42 -9.8%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 1-2

4th 2-2

5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Herrestads

1.96

Motala

1.73

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -1.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -1.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home + BTTS (+1.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 29%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away POOR (0.80)