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Tord vs Kumla Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Norra Götaland - 15 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 17:00

Tord

PPG 0.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kumla

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.31, combined xG 2.36 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.4%0-112.6%0-28.4%0-33.7%0-4+1.7%1 1-09.7%1-112.9%1-28.6%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.0%2-16.6%2-24.4%2-32.0%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.7%3-12.3%3-21.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.9% — — —

Draw 27.2% — — —

Away win 40.8% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.6%

A 41% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 9.4%

#3 0–1 12.6%

#4 1–2 8.6%

#5 0–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tord1.0

Kumla1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TORD · PPG 0.50

KUMLA · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.31, combined xG 2.36 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Tord (H) 31.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kumla (A) 40.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tord face Kumla in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tord a 32% chance, the draw 27% and Kumla 41%, so Kumla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Tord and 1.3 for Kumla (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tord are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.14 for Kumla.

Tord vs Kumla Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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