Today / Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland / Grebbestad vs Husqvarna

Grebbestad vs Husqvarna Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Norra Götaland - 11 ·Friday, June 5, 2026, 16:30

Grebbestad

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Husqvarna

PPG 2.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 56.7% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-112.4%0-211.8%0-37.5%0-4+5.5%1 1-05.4%1-110.3%1-29.8%1-36.2%1-4+4.6%2 2-02.2%2-14.3%2-24.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.6%3-11.2%3-21.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.3% 24.4% 4.10 -7.6%

Draw 22.0% 27.4% 3.65 -11.8%

Away win 56.7% 61.7% 1.62 -8.2%

Over 2.5 54.1% 67.6% 1.48 -19.9%

Over 3.5 35.9% 45.5% 2.20 -21.0%

BTTS 54.1% — — —

Home O1.5 33.7% — — —

Away O1.5 44.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -16.3%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 41%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob54.1%

A 57% / xG 0.8-1.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 0–2 11.8%

#3 0–1 12.4%

#4 1–2✓ 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grebbestad0.8

Husqvarna1.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.1% · O3.5 PROB 35.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GREBBESTAD · PPG 2.00

HUSQVARNA · PPG 2.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Grebbestad (H) 21.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -7.6%

Draw 22.0%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -11.8%

Husqvarna (A) 56.7%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -8.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Grebbestad face Husqvarna in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland on Friday, June 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grebbestad a 21% chance, the draw 22% and Husqvarna 57%, so Husqvarna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Grebbestad and 1.9 for Husqvarna (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grebbestad are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.60 for Husqvarna. This match finished 1-2.

Grebbestad vs Husqvarna Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland Predictions