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IF Karlstad B vs IFK Skovde Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Norra Götaland - 11 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 14:00

IF Karlstad B

PPG 0.50 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

IFK Skovde

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 68.3% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-16.8%0-28.7%0-37.5%0-4+9.0%1 1-02.8%1-17.2%1-29.3%1-38.0%1-4+9.5%2 2-01.5%2-13.8%2-24.9%2-34.2%2-4+5.1%3 3-00.5%3-11.4%3-21.7%3-31.5%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 15.8% 19.0% 5.25 -10.2%

Draw 20.0% 23.1% 4.33 -8.0%

Away win 64.2% 67.6% 1.48 -5.0%

Over 2.5 65.4% 75.2% 1.33 -13.0%

Over 3.5 43.0% 54.6% 1.83 -21.3%

BTTS 61.4% 71.4% 1.40 -14.0%

Home O1.5 40.0% 40.0% 2.50 0.0%

Away O1.5 68.3% 76.9% 1.30 -11.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -16.3%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob61.4%

A 64% / xG 1.1-2.6 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.3%

#2 0–2✓ 8.7%

#3 1–1 7.2%

#4 1–3 8.0%

#5 0–3 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IF Karlstad B1.1

IFK Skovde2.6

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

IF KARLSTAD B · PPG 0.50

IFK SKOVDE · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

IF Karlstad B (H) 15.8%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV -10.2%

Draw 20.0%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -8.0%

IFK Skovde (A) 64.2%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -5.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

IF Karlstad B face IFK Skovde in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IF Karlstad B a 16% chance, the draw 20% and IFK Skovde 64%, so IFK Skovde are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for IF Karlstad B and 2.6 for IFK Skovde (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IF Karlstad B are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 2.00 for IFK Skovde. This match finished 0-2.

IF Karlstad B vs IFK Skovde Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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