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Hammarby W vs Växjö W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 12 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 17:00

Hammarby W

PPG 2.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Växjö W

PPG 0.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.49 for Home, form 2.40 vs 0.20 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-11.5%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-07.9%1-14.6%1-21.3%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-012.2%2-17.1%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-012.5%3-17.3%3-22.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-020.6%4+-112.0%4+-23.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 73.9% — — —

Draw 17.2% — — —

Away win 8.8% — — —

Over 2.5 66.0% — — —

Over 3.5 43.7% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 77.1% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob49.2%

H 74% / xG 3.1-0.6 / O2.5 66% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 12.5%

#2 2–0 12.2%

#3 4–0 9.6%

#4 3–1 7.3%

#5 1–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hammarby W3.1

Växjö W0.6

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.0% · O3.5 PROB 43.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HAMMARBY W · PPG 2.40

VÄXJÖ W · PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.49 for Home, form 2.40 vs 0.20 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Hammarby W (H) 73.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Växjö W (A) 8.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hammarby W face Växjö W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hammarby W a 74% chance, the draw 17% and Växjö W 9%, so Hammarby W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Hammarby W and 0.6 for Växjö W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hammarby W are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 0.20 for Växjö W.

Hammarby W vs Växjö W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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