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Vaxjo W vs Brommapojk. W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 11 ·Wednesday, June 24, 2026, 17:00

Vaxjo W

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Brommapojk. W

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.3% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-14.4%0-23.2%0-31.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-06.1%1-18.9%1-26.6%1-33.2%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.2%2-19.1%2-26.7%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-04.3%3-16.2%3-24.6%3-32.2%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-15.1%4+-23.8%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 2.15 +6.0%

Draw 22.5% 3.50 -12.8%

Away win 28.2% 2.70 -14.3%

Over 2.5 64.3% 1.55 -0.3%

Over 3.5 41.8% 2.50 +4.5%

BTTS 62.7% 1.50 -5.9%

Win probability 1X2

Vaxjo W (H) 49.3%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +6.0%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -12.8%

Brommapojk. W (A) 28.2%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -14.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 14.0%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.7%

H 49% / xG 2.0-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 2–2 6.7%

#4 1–2 6.6%

#5 3–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vaxjo W2.0

Brommapojk. W1.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.3% · O3.5 PROB 41.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VAXJO W · PPG 1.40

BROMMAPOJK. W · PPG 1.20

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Match Preview & Prediction

Vaxjo W face Brommapojk. W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Wednesday, June 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vaxjo W a 49% chance, the draw 23% and Brommapojk. W 28%, so Vaxjo W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Vaxjo W and 1.5 for Brommapojk. W (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vaxjo W are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.20 for Brommapojk. W. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +20.9%.

Vaxjo W vs Brommapojk. W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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