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AIK W vs Eskilstuna U. W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 11 ·Wednesday, June 24, 2026, 17:00

AIK W

PPG 2.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Eskilstuna U. W

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-110.9%0-24.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.7%1-113.2%1-25.9%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.9%2-18.0%2-23.6%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.6%3-13.2%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 44.4% 1.60 -29.0%

Draw 28.2% 3.85 +5.1%

Away win 27.4% 4.33 +11.2%

Over 2.5 47.4% 1.55 -26.5%

Over 3.5 27.7% 2.50 -18.4%

BTTS 48.1% 1.62 -22.1%

Win probability 1X2

AIK W (H) 44.4%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -29.0%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +5.1%

Eskilstuna U. W (A) 27.4%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +11.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 14.0%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.1%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 12.2%

#3 1–0 14.7%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 2–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

AIK W1.2

Eskilstuna U. W0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.4% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AIK W · PPG 2.60

ESKILSTUNA U. W · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs P(Home)=44.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

AIK W face Eskilstuna U. W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Wednesday, June 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AIK W a 44% chance, the draw 28% and Eskilstuna U. W 27%, so AIK W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for AIK W and 0.9 for Eskilstuna U. W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AIK W are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 1.75 for Eskilstuna U. W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +11.2%.

AIK W vs Eskilstuna U. W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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