Today / Sweden - Damallsvenskan / Norrkoping W vs Vittsjo W

Norrkoping W vs Vittsjo W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 11 ·Wednesday, June 24, 2026, 17:00

Norrkoping W logo
Norrkoping W
PPG 1.00 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Vittsjo W logo
Vittsjo W
PPG 1.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.1%0-114.5%0-26.6%0-32.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.9%1-113.4%1-26.1%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.9%2-16.2%2-22.8%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.1%3-11.9%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 35.9% 1.91 -31.4%
Draw 31.5% 3.35 +5.5%
Away win 32.6% 3.40 +10.8%
Over 2.5 37.3% 1.75 -34.7%
Over 3.5 18.6% 3.25 -23.7%
BTTS 48.1% 1.67 -19.7%

Win probability 1X2

Norrkoping W (H) 35.9%
ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -31.4%
Draw 31.5%
ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +5.5%
Vittsjo W (A) 32.6%
ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +10.8%

League track record

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5 76%
BTTS 57%
Score Hit 43%
ROI 14.0%
Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.1%

D 32% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.1%
#2 1–1 13.4%
#3 1–0 14.9%
#4 0–1 14.5%
#5 2–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Norrkoping W0.9
Vittsjo W0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

NORRKOPING W · PPG 1.00

VITTSJO W · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Match Preview & Prediction

Norrkoping W face Vittsjo W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Wednesday, June 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Norrkoping W a 36% chance, the draw 32% and Vittsjo W 33%, so Norrkoping W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Norrkoping W and 0.9 for Vittsjo W (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Norrkoping W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.20 for Vittsjo W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +10.8%.

PredictVantage

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