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Norrköping W vs Hammarby W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 14:00

Norrköping W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Hammarby W

PPG 2.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 51.2% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.1%0-119.6%0-212.7%0-35.5%0-4+2.4%1 1-09.0%1-111.6%1-27.5%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-02.7%2-13.4%2-22.2%2-31.0%2-4+0.4%3 3-00.5%3-10.7%3-20.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 19.8% 19.0% 5.25 +2.4%

Draw 29.0% 25.3% 3.95 +8.7%

Away win 51.2% 67.6% 1.48 -24.2%

Over 2.5 39.3% 62.5% 1.60 -37.1%

Over 3.5 19.7% 38.2% 2.62 -29.0%

BTTS 46.5% 55.6% 1.80 -16.3%

Home O1.5 33.3% 26.7% 3.75 +24.9%

Away O1.5 38.6% 63.7% 1.57 -39.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 23.0%

Bet Hit 82%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob46.5%

A 51% / xG 0.6-1.3 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 19.6%

#2 0–0 15.1%

#3 1–1 11.6%

#4 0–2 12.7%

#5 1–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Norrköping W0.6

Hammarby W1.3

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.7%

Form & verdict PPG

NORRKÖPING W · PPG 1.00

HAMMARBY W · PPG 2.67

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.70 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Norrköping W (H) 19.8%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV +2.4%

Draw 29.0%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +8.7%

Hammarby W (A) 51.2%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -24.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Norrköping W face Hammarby W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Norrköping W a 20% chance, the draw 29% and Hammarby W 51%, so Hammarby W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Norrköping W and 1.3 for Hammarby W (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Norrköping W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.67 for Hammarby W. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +24.9%. This match finished 0-4.

Norrköping W vs Hammarby W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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