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Vittsjö W vs Malmö FF W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 13 ·Monday, July 27, 2026, 17:00

Vittsjö W

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Malmö FF W

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-115.2%0-29.4%0-33.9%0-4+1.6%1 1-010.6%1-113.1%1-28.1%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-04.5%2-15.6%2-23.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.3%3-11.6%3-21.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.5% 17.2% 5.80 +42.7%

Draw 29.3% 24.4% 4.10 +12.1%

Away win 41.3% 69.9% 1.43 -40.9%

Over 2.5 44.2% 62.1% 1.61 -28.8%

Over 3.5 23.8% 40.0% 2.50 -24.3%

BTTS 48.5% 57.1% 1.75 -15.1%

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.9% 68.0% 1.47 -45.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 23.0%

Bet Hit 82%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.5%

A 41% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 12.3%

#3 0–1 15.2%

#4 0–2 9.4%

#5 1–0 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vittsjö W0.9

Malmö FF W1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.2% · O3.5 PROB 23.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VITTSJÖ W · PPG 1.40

MALMÖ FF W · PPG 1.50

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.38, combined xG 2.09 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Vittsjö W (H) 29.5%

ODDS 5.80 · IMPLIED 17.2% EV +42.7%

Draw 29.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +12.1%

Malmö FF W (A) 41.3%

ODDS 1.43 · IMPLIED 69.9% EV -40.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vittsjö W face Malmö FF W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Monday, July 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vittsjö W a 30% chance, the draw 29% and Malmö FF W 41%, so Malmö FF W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Vittsjö W and 1.2 for Malmö FF W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vittsjö W are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.50 for Malmö FF W.

Vittsjö W vs Malmö FF W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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