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Uppsala W vs Hacken W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 11 ·Wednesday, June 24, 2026, 16:00

Uppsala W

PPG 1.50 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Hacken W

PPG 2.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 69.5% vs bookmaker-implied 85.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-110.5%0-212.2%0-39.5%0-4+9.5%1 1-03.5%1-18.1%1-29.4%1-37.3%1-4+7.3%2 2-01.3%2-13.1%2-23.6%2-32.8%2-4+2.8%3 3-00.3%3-10.8%3-20.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.8% 7.7% 13.00 +39.8%

Draw 20.6% 16.7% 6.00 +14.2%

Away win 66.6% 87.7% 1.14 -24.1%

Over 2.5 64.1% 73.5% 1.36 -12.8%

Over 3.5 39.8% 52.6% 1.90 -24.4%

BTTS 54.3% 45.5% 2.20 +19.5%

Home O1.5 32.5% 14.3% 7.00 +127.5%

Away O1.5 69.5% 85.5% 1.17 -18.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 12.8%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob54.3%

A 67% / xG 0.8-2.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 12.2%

#2 0–3 9.5%

#3 1–2 9.4%

#4 1–1 8.1%

#5 0–1 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Uppsala W0.8

Hacken W2.3

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

UPPSALA W · PPG 1.50

HACKEN W · PPG 2.40

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Uppsala W (H) 12.8%

ODDS 13.00 · IMPLIED 7.7% EV +39.8%

Draw 20.6%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +14.2%

Hacken W (A) 66.6%

ODDS 1.14 · IMPLIED 87.7% EV -24.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Uppsala W face Hacken W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Wednesday, June 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Uppsala W a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Hacken W 67%, so Hacken W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Uppsala W and 2.3 for Hacken W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Uppsala W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.40 for Hacken W. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +127.5%. This match finished 2-3.

Uppsala W vs Hacken W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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