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Rosengard W vs Djurgarden W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 11 ·Wednesday, June 24, 2026, 16:00

Rosengard W logo
Rosengard W
PPG 0.40 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Djurgarden W logo
Djurgarden W
PPG 0.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.5%0-19.2%0-23.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.8%1-112.3%1-24.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.3%2-18.3%2-23.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.1%3-13.7%3-21.4%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-11.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 48.6% 2.05 -0.4%
Draw 27.3% 3.40 -4.3%
Away win 24.2% 3.00 -16.4%
Over 2.5 47.4% 1.65 -21.8%
Over 3.5 27.7% 2.62 -16.5%
BTTS 48.1% 1.62 -22.1%

Win probability 1X2

Rosengard W (H) 48.6%
ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -0.4%
Draw 27.3%
ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -4.3%
Djurgarden W (A) 24.2%
ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -16.4%

League track record

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5 76%
BTTS 57%
Score Hit 43%
ROI 14.0%
Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.1%

H 49% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.8%
#2 0–0 12.5%
#3 1–1 12.3%
#4 2–0 11.3%
#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rosengard W1.3
Djurgarden W0.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.4% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ROSENGARD W · PPG 0.40

DJURGARDEN W · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.40), Away POOR (0.60)

Match Preview & Prediction

Rosengard W face Djurgarden W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Wednesday, June 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rosengard W a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Djurgarden W 24%, so Rosengard W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Rosengard W and 0.7 for Djurgarden W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rosengard W are averaging 0.40 points per game versus 0.60 for Djurgarden W.

PredictVantage

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