Today / Finland - Ykkonen / Tampere United vs Inter Turku II

Tampere United vs Inter Turku II Prediction— Finland - Ykkonen

Group Stage ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 16:00

Tampere United

PPG 1.86 · HOME

LAST 5

WDDWL

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Inter Turku II

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLLL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5 83% chance

Model probability 77.3% vs bookmaker-implied 84.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-11.7%0-20.7%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.1%1-15.1%1-22.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.4%2-17.9%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.6%3-18.1%3-23.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-015.9%4+-113.4%4+-25.7%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.6% 80.0% 1.25 -10.5%

Draw 18.3% 18.2% 5.50 +0.4%

Away win 10.0% 12.5% 8.00 -12.0%

Over 2.5 67.0% 80.0% 1.25 -16.3%

Over 3.5 46.1% 61.7% 1.62 -25.3%

BTTS 55.4% 66.7% 1.50 -16.9%

Home O1.5 77.3% 84.7% 1.18 -8.8%

Away O1.5 20.1% 29.4% 3.40 -19.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob55.4%

H 72% / xG 3.1-0.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 9.6%

#2 2–0 9.4%

#3 3–1 8.1%

#4 2–1 7.9%

#5 4–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tampere United3.1

Inter Turku II0.8

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 46.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TAMPERE UNITED · PPG 1.86

INTER TURKU II · PPG 1.00

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

83%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.23 for Home, form 1.86 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Tampere United (H) 71.6%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -10.5%

Draw 18.3%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +0.4%

Inter Turku II (A) 10.0%

ODDS 8.00 · IMPLIED 12.5% EV -12.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tampere United face Inter Turku II in Finland - Ykkonen on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tampere United a 72% chance, the draw 18% and Inter Turku II 10%, so Tampere United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Tampere United and 0.8 for Inter Turku II (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tampere United are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.00 for Inter Turku II. This match finished 2-2.

Tampere United vs Inter Turku II Prediction— Finland - Ykkonen

Match Preview & Prediction

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