Today / Finland - Ykkonen / Tampere United vs Inter Turku II

Tampere United vs Inter Turku II Prediction— Finland - Ykkonen

Group Stage ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 16:00

Tampere United logo
Tampere United
PPG 1.86 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Inter Turku II logo
Inter Turku II
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.55 for Home, form 1.86 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-11.2%0-20.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-04.4%1-14.0%1-21.8%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-07.7%2-16.9%2-23.1%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.8%3-18.0%3-23.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-018.4%4+-116.6%4+-27.5%4+-32.2%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 73.3%
Draw 17.3%
Away win 9.5%
Over 2.5 72.6%
Over 3.5 51.4%
BTTS 57.6%
Home O1.5 77.3%
Away O1.5 24.7%

League track record

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 67%
BTTS 75%
Score Hit 33%
ROI -26.8%
Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)3.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob57.6%

H 73% / xG 3.5-0.9 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.8%
#2 3–1 8.0%
#3 2–0 7.7%
#4 4–0 7.6%
#5 2–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tampere United3.5
Inter Turku II0.9

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 51.4%

Form & verdict PPG

TAMPERE UNITED · PPG 1.86

INTER TURKU II · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.55 for Home, form 1.86 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Tampere United (H) 73.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 17.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Inter Turku II (A) 9.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tampere United face Inter Turku II in Finland - Ykkonen on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tampere United a 73% chance, the draw 17% and Inter Turku II 10%, so Tampere United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Tampere United and 0.9 for Inter Turku II (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tampere United are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.00 for Inter Turku II.

PredictVantage

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