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PKKU vs VJS Prediction— Finland - Ykkonen

Group Stage ·Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 16:00

PKKU

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

VJS

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-14.6%0-23.5%0-31.8%0-4+0.9%1 1-06.0%1-19.1%1-26.9%1-33.5%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.9%2-19.0%2-26.8%2-33.5%2-4+1.8%3 3-03.9%3-16.0%3-24.5%3-32.3%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-14.7%4+-23.5%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.5% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 28.1% — — —

Over 2.5 63.8% — — —

Over 3.5 42.1% — — —

BTTS 64.0% — — —

Home O1.5 55.6% — — —

Away O1.5 48.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -34.6%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob64.0%

H 50% / xG 2.0-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 3–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

PKKU2.0

VJS1.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 42.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PKKU · PPG 1.71

VJS · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

PKKU (H) 49.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

VJS (A) 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

PKKU face VJS in Finland - Ykkonen on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PKKU a 50% chance, the draw 22% and VJS 28%, so PKKU are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for PKKU and 1.5 for VJS (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PKKU are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.00 for VJS.

PKKU vs VJS Prediction— Finland - Ykkonen

Match Preview & Prediction

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