Today / Australia - NPL Victoria / Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons

Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons Prediction— Australia - NPL Victoria

Regular Season - 23 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 09:30

Bentleigh Greens

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Oakleigh Cannons

PPG 2.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 69.9% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-17.5%0-210.7%0-310.2%0-4+14.6%1 1-02.1%1-15.9%1-28.4%1-38.0%1-4+11.5%2 2-00.8%2-12.3%2-23.3%2-33.1%2-4+4.5%3 3-00.2%3-10.6%3-20.9%3-30.8%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.2% 13.2% 7.60 +0.2%

Draw 17.1% 21.7% 4.60 -12.8%

Away win 69.7% 75.2% 1.33 -7.3%

Over 2.5 64.0% 61.7% 1.62 +3.7%

Over 3.5 42.7% 40.0% 2.50 +6.8%

BTTS 52.6% 54.6% 1.83 -3.7%

Home O1.5 32.6% 23.1% 4.33 +41.2%

Away O1.5 69.9% 71.4% 1.40 -2.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 86 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 7.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 62%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.9 BTTS prob52.6%

A 70% / xG 0.8-2.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.7%

#2 0–3 10.2%

#3 1–2 8.4%

#4 1–3 8.0%

#5 0–4 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bentleigh Greens0.8

Oakleigh Cannons2.9

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 42.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BENTLEIGH GREENS · PPG 1.25

OAKLEIGH CANNONS · PPG 2.27

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

90%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.07 for Away, form 1.25 vs 2.27

Win probability 1X2

Bentleigh Greens (H) 13.2%

ODDS 7.60 · IMPLIED 13.2% EV +0.2%

Draw 17.1%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -12.8%

Oakleigh Cannons (A) 69.7%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -7.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bentleigh Greens face Oakleigh Cannons in Australia - NPL Victoria on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bentleigh Greens a 13% chance, the draw 17% and Oakleigh Cannons 70%, so Oakleigh Cannons are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Bentleigh Greens and 2.9 for Oakleigh Cannons (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bentleigh Greens are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 2.27 for Oakleigh Cannons. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +41.2%.

Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons Prediction— Australia - NPL Victoria

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - NPL Victoria Predictions