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Internacional de Bogota vs America de Cali Prediction— Colombia - Primera A

Clausura - 1 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 19:00

Internacional de Bogota

PPG 1.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

America de Cali

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 53.9% vs bookmaker-implied 46.5% — a clear edge.

+15.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-17.6%0-23.9%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-011.7%1-112.0%1-26.2%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.2%2-19.4%2-24.8%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.8%3-14.9%3-22.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.8%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.2% 33.9% 2.95 +54.0%

Draw 24.5% 31.7% 3.15 -13.7%

Away win 23.3% 41.7% 2.40 -26.5%

Over 2.5 53.9% 46.5% 2.15 +15.9%

Over 3.5 32.8% 23.8% 4.20 +37.8%

BTTS 53.8% 52.6% 1.90 +2.2%

Home O1.5 48.9% 34.5% 2.90 +41.8%

Away O1.5 33.3% 40.0% 2.50 -16.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 18.9%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.8%

H 52% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–0 11.7%

#3 2–1 9.4%

#4 0–0 7.4%

#5 2–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Internacional de Bogota1.6

America de Cali1.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

INTERNACIONAL DE BOGOTA · PPG 1.80

AMERICA DE CALI · PPG 1.09

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Internacional de Bogota (H) 52.2%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +54.0%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV -13.7%

America de Cali (A) 23.3%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -26.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Internacional de Bogota face America de Cali in Colombia - Primera A on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Internacional de Bogota a 52% chance, the draw 25% and America de Cali 23%, so Internacional de Bogota are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Internacional de Bogota and 1.0 for America de Cali (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Internacional de Bogota are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.09 for America de Cali. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +56.5%.

Internacional de Bogota vs America de Cali Prediction— Colombia - Primera A

Match Preview & Prediction

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