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Italy - Serie B logo Italy flag Italy - Serie B Regular Season - 35 Stadio dei Marmi· Carrara Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00
Carrarese logo Carrarese PPG 1.59
2-2 MISS
Pescara logo Pescara PPG 0.71
Home· +53.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 66.9%
Odds: 2.30 EV: +53.9%
Draw 17.4%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -40.0%
Away 15.6%
Odds: 2.88 EV: -55.1%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 70.7% Odds: 1.80 +27.3%
Over 3.5 49.7% Odds: 3.00 +49.1%
BTTS 62.7% Odds: 1.62 +1.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 3-1
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Carrarese
2.51
Pescara
1.15

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +27.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home(+53.9%)

League Track Record

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 57%
Score Hit 60%
ROI 6.9%
Bet Hit 59% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.59), Away POOR (0.71) - Strong consensus

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