Predict
Vantage
Today
Top Picks
Accuracy
Leagues
← Back to picks
Italy - Serie B
Regular Season - 35
Stadio dei Marmi· Carrara
Sunday, April 19, 2026
13:00
Carrarese
PPG 1.59
2-2
MISS
Pescara
PPG 0.71
Home· +53.9%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
66.9%
Odds: 2.30
EV: +53.9%
Draw
17.4%
Odds: 3.45
EV: -40.0%
Away
15.6%
Odds: 2.88
EV: -55.1%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
70.7%
Odds: 1.80
+27.3%
Over 3.5
49.7%
Odds: 3.00
+49.1%
BTTS
62.7%
Odds: 1.62
+1.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-1
✘
2nd
2-0
✘
3rd
3-1
✘
4th
1-1
✘
5th
3-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Carrarese
2.51
Pescara
1.15
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+27.3%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Home(+53.9%)
League Track Record
↗
Based on 40 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
53%
O2.5/Under
55%
BTTS/No
57%
Score Hit
60%
ROI
6.9%
Bet Hit
59%
(17 bets)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME
Home team in GOOD form (1.59), Away POOR (0.71) - Strong consensus