Virtus Verona vs Alcione Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone A

Italy - Serie C - Girone A Girone A - 37 Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini· Verona Sunday, April 19, 2026 12:30

Virtus Verona PPG 0.56

1-1 HIT CS4

Alcione PPG 1.22

Draw· +5.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Virtus Verona face Alcione in Italy - Serie C - Girone A on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Virtus Verona a 24% chance, the draw 35% and Alcione 41%, so Alcione are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Virtus Verona and 0.9 for Alcione (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 21% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Virtus Verona are averaging 0.56 points per game versus 1.22 for Alcione. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +5.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 24.3%

Odds: 2.60 EV: -36.8%

Draw 35.2%

Odds: 3.00 EV: +5.6%

Away 40.5%

Odds: 2.60 EV: +5.3%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 20.8% Odds: 2.15 -55.3%

Over 3.5 7.4% Odds: 3.85 -71.5%

BTTS 28.6% Odds: 1.80 -48.5%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✔

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Virtus Verona

0.64

Alcione

0.93

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 55%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 32.0%

Bet Hit 70% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.22) vs Home POOR (0.56)