Today / China - Super League / Yunnan Yukun vs Sichuan Jiuniu

Yunnan Yukun vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction— China - Super League

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 11:00

Yunnan Yukun

PPG 1.56 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sichuan Jiuniu

PPG 0.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.4% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-13.0%0-21.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-06.7%1-17.5%1-24.2%1-31.6%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.4%2-19.4%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-07.0%3-17.8%3-24.4%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-08.0%4+-18.9%4+-25.0%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.0% 57.1% 1.75 +3.3%

Draw 21.2% 25.3% 3.95 -9.8%

Away win 19.9% 26.7% 3.75 -15.2%

Over 2.5 66.4% 71.4% 1.40 -7.0%

Over 3.5 44.5% 50.0% 2.00 -11.0%

BTTS 62.5% 73.5% 1.36 -15.0%

Home O1.5 63.3% 66.7% 1.50 -5.1%

Away O1.5 36.4% 44.4% 2.25 -18.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 5.0%

Bet Hit 66%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob62.5%

H 59% / xG 2.5-1.1 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.4%

#2 1–1 7.5%

#3 2–0 8.4%

#4 3–1 7.8%

#5 3–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yunnan Yukun2.5

Sichuan Jiuniu1.1

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.4% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

YUNNAN YUKUN · PPG 1.56

SICHUAN JIUNIU · PPG 0.44

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.39 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Yunnan Yukun (H) 59.0%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV +3.3%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -9.8%

Sichuan Jiuniu (A) 19.9%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -15.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Yunnan Yukun face Sichuan Jiuniu in China - Super League on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yunnan Yukun a 59% chance, the draw 21% and Sichuan Jiuniu 20%, so Yunnan Yukun are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Yunnan Yukun and 1.1 for Sichuan Jiuniu (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yunnan Yukun are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 0.44 for Sichuan Jiuniu.

Yunnan Yukun vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - Super League Predictions