Vicenza vs Pergolettese Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone A

Italy - Serie C - Girone A Girone A - 37 Stadio Romeo Menti· Vicenza Sunday, April 19, 2026 12:30

Vicenza PPG 2.44

0-0 MISS

Pergolettese PPG 0.89

Home· +4.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Vicenza face Pergolettese in Italy - Serie C - Girone A on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vicenza a 84% chance, the draw 12% and Pergolettese 4%, so Vicenza are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Vicenza and 0.4 for Pergolettese (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vicenza are averaging 2.44 points per game versus 0.89 for Pergolettese. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.9%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 83.9%

Odds: 1.25 EV: +4.9%

Draw 11.9%

Odds: 4.75 EV: -43.5%

Away 4.2%

Odds: 11.00 EV: -53.8%

Model lean: Home

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.4% Odds: 1.70 -0.7%

Over 3.5 36.0% Odds: 2.70 -2.8%

BTTS 32.3% Odds: 2.10 -32.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 4-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Vicenza

2.60

Pergolettese

0.43

Model SuggestionHome +4.9% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.44), Away POOR (0.89) - Strong consensus