Union Brescia PPG 1.78
D. Bellunesi PPG 1.00Union Brescia face D. Bellunesi in Italy - Serie C - Girone A on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Union Brescia a 78% chance, the draw 15% and D. Bellunesi 6%, so Union Brescia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Union Brescia and 0.5 for D. Bellunesi (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Union Brescia are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.00 for D. Bellunesi. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.8%. This match finished 2-0.
Based on 20 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.78) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)