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Union Brescia vs D. Bellunesi Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone A

Italy - Serie C - Girone A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie C - Girone A Girone A - 37 Stadio Mario Rigamonti· Brescia Sunday, April 19, 2026 12:30
Union Brescia logo Union Brescia PPG 1.78
2-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
D. Bellunesi logo D. Bellunesi PPG 1.00
Home· +5.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Union Brescia face D. Bellunesi in Italy - Serie C - Girone A on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Union Brescia a 78% chance, the draw 15% and D. Bellunesi 6%, so Union Brescia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Union Brescia and 0.5 for D. Bellunesi (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Union Brescia are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.00 for D. Bellunesi. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.8%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 78.4%
Odds: 1.35 EV: +5.8%
Draw 15.2%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -36.2%
Away 6.3%
Odds: 8.40 EV: -47.1%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.2% Odds: 1.80 -4.2%
Over 3.5 30.9% Odds: 3.00 -7.3%
BTTS 35.3% Odds: 2.05 -27.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 3-0
4th 2-1
5th 4-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Union Brescia
2.31
D. Bellunesi
0.50

Model Suggestion

Home +5.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 32.0%
Bet Hit 70% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.78) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org