Trento vs Renate Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone A

Italy - Serie C - Girone A Girone A - 37 Stadio Briamasco· Trento Sunday, April 19, 2026 12:30

Trento PPG 1.78

3-3 MISS

Renate PPG 1.72

Away· -5.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Trento face Renate in Italy - Serie C - Girone A on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trento a 47% chance, the draw 27% and Renate 26%, so Trento are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Trento and 1.0 for Renate (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trento are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.72 for Renate. This match finished 3-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.8%

Odds: 1.90 EV: -11.1%

Draw 27.3%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -8.5%

Away 25.9%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -5.5%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 41.2% Odds: 1.95 -19.7%

Over 3.5 20.7% Odds: 3.40 -29.6%

BTTS 45.9% Odds: 1.75 -19.7%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Trento

1.38

Renate

0.95

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.78), Away GOOD (1.72)