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Rockdale City Suns vs Sutherland Sharks Prediction— Australia - NPL New South Wales

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 05:00

Rockdale City Suns

PPG 1.45 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sutherland Sharks

PPG 1.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.7% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-17.1%0-24.9%0-32.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.1%1-111.2%1-27.8%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.4%2-18.9%2-26.2%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.4%3-14.7%3-23.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.7%4+-21.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.7% 59.9% 1.67 -32.0%

Draw 24.4% 25.0% 4.00 -1.4%

Away win 34.9% 25.3% 3.95 +37.9%

Over 2.5 60.7% 67.6% 1.48 -10.2%

Over 3.5 37.5% 45.5% 2.20 -17.5%

BTTS 59.8% 67.6% 1.48 -11.5%

Home O1.5 51.2% 65.4% 1.53 -21.7%

Away O1.5 41.9% 39.2% 2.55 +6.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 112 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -12.9%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.8%

H 41% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 0–0 5.1%

#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rockdale City Suns1.6

Sutherland Sharks1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ROCKDALE CITY SUNS · PPG 1.45

SUTHERLAND SHARKS · PPG 1.54

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rockdale City Suns (H) 40.7%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -32.0%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -1.4%

Sutherland Sharks (A) 34.9%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +37.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rockdale City Suns face Sutherland Sharks in Australia - NPL New South Wales on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rockdale City Suns a 41% chance, the draw 24% and Sutherland Sharks 35%, so Rockdale City Suns are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Rockdale City Suns and 1.4 for Sutherland Sharks (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rockdale City Suns are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.54 for Sutherland Sharks. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +16.6%.

Rockdale City Suns vs Sutherland Sharks Prediction— Australia - NPL New South Wales

Match Preview & Prediction

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