Pro Vercelli vs Ospitaletto Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone A

Italy - Serie C - Girone A Girone A - 37 Stadio Silvio Piola· Vercelli Sunday, April 19, 2026 12:30

Pro Vercelli PPG 1.39

1-0 HIT CS2

Ospitaletto PPG 0.94

Away· +2.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Pro Vercelli face Ospitaletto in Italy - Serie C - Girone A on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pro Vercelli a 40% chance, the draw 28% and Ospitaletto 32%, so Pro Vercelli are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Pro Vercelli and 1.0 for Ospitaletto (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pro Vercelli are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 0.94 for Ospitaletto. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +2.7%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.9%

Odds: 2.15 EV: -14.2%

Draw 28.5%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -11.7%

Away 31.6%

Odds: 3.25 EV: +2.7%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 39.4% Odds: 2.10 -17.3%

Over 3.5 19.3% Odds: 3.80 -26.7%

BTTS 45.7% Odds: 1.80 -17.7%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✔

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Pro Vercelli

1.21

Ospitaletto

1.05

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 55%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 32.0%

Bet Hit 70% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.39) > Away POOR (0.94)