Pro Patria vs Arzignano Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone A

Italy - Serie C - Girone A Girone A - 37 Carlo Speroni· Busto Arsizio Sunday, April 19, 2026 12:30

Pro Patria PPG 0.72

2-3 MISS

Arzignano PPG 1.39

Over3.5· +24.6% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Pro Patria face Arzignano in Italy - Serie C - Girone A on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pro Patria a 27% chance, the draw 25% and Arzignano 48%, so Arzignano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Pro Patria and 1.6 for Arzignano (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pro Patria are averaging 0.72 points per game versus 1.39 for Arzignano. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +24.6%. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 26.8%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -16.9%

Draw 25.3%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -21.6%

Away 47.9%

Odds: 2.20 EV: +5.4%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.6% Odds: 2.30 +14.1%

Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 4.50 +24.6%

BTTS 52.7% Odds: 1.95 +2.8%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Pro Patria

1.10

Arzignano

1.56

Model SuggestionBTTS +2.8% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+24.6%)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.39) vs Home POOR (0.72)