Lecco vs Lumezzane Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone A

Italy - Serie C - Girone A Girone A - 37 Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi· Lecco Sunday, April 19, 2026 12:30

Lecco PPG 1.72

0-0 HIT CS2

Lumezzane PPG 1.39

Draw· -1.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Lecco face Lumezzane in Italy - Serie C - Girone A on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lecco a 53% chance, the draw 29% and Lumezzane 17%, so Lecco are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Lecco and 0.6 for Lumezzane (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lecco are averaging 1.72 points per game versus 1.39 for Lumezzane. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.3%

Odds: 1.73 EV: -7.8%

Draw 29.3%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -1.8%

Away 17.4%

Odds: 4.60 EV: -20.0%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 29.4% Odds: 2.05 -39.7%

Over 3.5 12.4% Odds: 3.65 -54.7%

BTTS 32.7% Odds: 1.85 -39.5%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✔

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Lecco

1.29

Lumezzane

0.60

Model SuggestionHome -7.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -7.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.72) > Away AVERAGE (1.39)