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UCSA vs Viktoriya M. Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 24 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 10:00

UCSA

PPG 1.45 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Viktoriya M.

PPG 0.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.45) > Away POOR (0.82)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-17.6%0-23.2%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-014.2%1-111.9%1-25.0%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.0%2-19.3%2-23.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.7%3-14.8%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-12.6%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.2% — — —

Draw 25.5% — — —

Away win 20.3% — — —

Over 2.5 43.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.1% — — —

BTTS 44.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob44.9%

H 54% / xG 1.6-0.8 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.2%

#2 1–1✓ 11.9%

#3 2–0 11.0%

#4 2–1 9.3%

#5 0–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

UCSA1.6

Viktoriya M.0.8

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.1%

Form & verdict PPG

UCSA · PPG 1.45

VIKTORIYA M. · PPG 0.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.45) > Away POOR (0.82)

Win probability 1X2

UCSA (H) 54.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Viktoriya M. (A) 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

UCSA face Viktoriya M. in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives UCSA a 54% chance, the draw 26% and Viktoriya M. 20%, so UCSA are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for UCSA and 0.8 for Viktoriya M. (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, UCSA are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 0.82 for Viktoriya M.. This match finished 1-1.

UCSA vs Viktoriya M. Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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