Today / Peru - Primera División / Sport Boys vs ADT

Sport Boys vs ADT Prediction— Peru - Primera División

Clausura - 2 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 22:30

Sport Boys

PPG 1.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

ADT

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-110.1%0-23.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.7%1-112.5%1-24.4%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.0%2-17.8%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.5%3-13.2%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.7% 52.4% 1.91 -8.9%

Draw 28.4% 29.0% 3.45 -1.2%

Away win 23.9% 25.6% 3.90 -4.1%

Over 2.5 43.6% 54.1% 1.85 -19.3%

Over 3.5 25.2% 30.8% 3.25 -10.9%

BTTS 48.5% 58.8% 1.70 -17.5%

Home O1.5 37.0% 51.8% 1.93 -28.6%

Away O1.5 20.1% 32.3% 3.10 -22.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.5%

H 48% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.3%

#2 1–0 17.7%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 2–0 11.0%

#5 0–1 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sport Boys1.2

ADT0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.6% · O3.5 PROB 25.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORT BOYS · PPG 1.78

ADT · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.53 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sport Boys (H) 47.7%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -8.9%

Draw 28.4%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -1.2%

ADT (A) 23.9%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -4.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sport Boys face ADT in Peru - Primera División on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sport Boys a 48% chance, the draw 28% and ADT 24%, so Sport Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sport Boys and 0.7 for ADT (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sport Boys are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 0.75 for ADT.

Sport Boys vs ADT Prediction— Peru - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

More Peru - Primera División Predictions