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MFC Metalurh vs Ahrobiznes V. Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Ukraine - Persha Liga logo Ukraine flag Ukraine - Persha Liga Regular Season - 24 Slavutych-Arena· Zaporizhia Sunday, April 19, 2026 08:00
MFC Metalurh logo MFC Metalurh PPG 0.64
1-6 MISS
Ahrobiznes V. logo Ahrobiznes V. PPG 1.36
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

MFC Metalurh face Ahrobiznes V. in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MFC Metalurh a 16% chance, the draw 28% and Ahrobiznes V. 56%, so Ahrobiznes V. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for MFC Metalurh and 1.3 for Ahrobiznes V. (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MFC Metalurh are averaging 0.64 points per game versus 1.36 for Ahrobiznes V.. This match finished 1-6.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 16.0%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 28.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 55.7%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 30.4% Odds: —
Over 3.5 13.1% Odds: —
BTTS 32.6% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-2
4th 1-1
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

MFC Metalurh
0.58
Ahrobiznes V.
1.35

Model Suggestion

Away MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 49%
BTTS/No 59%
Score Hit 53%
ROI 5.2%
Bet Hit 80% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.36) vs Home POOR (0.64)

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