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Huachipato vs Cobresal Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 21:30

Huachipato

PPG 2.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cobresal

PPG 0.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.0% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a clear edge.

+13.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-12.4%0-21.2%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.0%1-16.6%1-23.1%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.5%2-19.0%2-24.2%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.6%3-18.1%3-23.8%3-31.2%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-011.2%4+-110.6%4+-25.0%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.0% 62.1% 1.61 +4.7%

Draw 16.8% 26.0% 3.85 -21.2%

Away win 18.2% 21.1% 4.75 -8.1%

Over 2.5 67.0% 58.8% 1.70 +13.9%

Over 3.5 44.5% 36.4% 2.75 +22.4%

BTTS 60.1% 59.9% 1.67 +0.4%

Home O1.5 63.3% 60.6% 1.65 +4.4%

Away O1.5 27.8% 29.9% 3.35 -4.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 27%

ROI 10.7%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob60.1%

H 65% / xG 2.7-0.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.5%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 3–0 8.6%

#4 3–1 8.1%

#5 1–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huachipato2.7

Cobresal0.9

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HUACHIPATO · PPG 2.14

COBRESAL · PPG 0.12

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.77 for Home, form 2.14 vs 0.12 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Huachipato (H) 65.0%

ODDS 1.61 · IMPLIED 62.1% EV +4.7%

Draw 16.8%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -21.2%

Cobresal (A) 18.2%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -8.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Huachipato face Cobresal in Chile - Primera División on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huachipato a 65% chance, the draw 17% and Cobresal 18%, so Huachipato are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Huachipato and 0.9 for Cobresal (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huachipato are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 0.12 for Cobresal. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +29.6%.

Huachipato vs Cobresal Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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