Today / Chile - Primera División / Everton vs Palestino

Everton vs Palestino Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 19:00

Everton

PPG 1.71 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Palestino

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.2% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-18.2%0-23.7%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.6%1-112.3%1-25.5%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.2%2-19.2%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.1%3-14.6%3-22.1%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-12.4%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.4% 39.1% 2.56 +26.5%

Draw 25.8% 30.8% 3.25 -9.7%

Away win 24.8% 39.1% 2.56 -21.9%

Over 2.5 48.9% 47.6% 2.10 +2.7%

Over 3.5 28.1% 26.7% 3.75 +3.2%

BTTS 52.2% 55.6% 1.80 -6.0%

Home O1.5 45.7% 39.2% 2.55 +16.5%

Away O1.5 26.6% 39.2% 2.55 -19.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 28%

ROI 12.0%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.2%

H 49% / xG 1.5-0.9 / U2.5 49% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 13.6%

#3 0–0 9.1%

#4 2–0 10.2%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Everton1.5

Palestino0.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

EVERTON · PPG 1.71

PALESTINO · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Everton (H) 49.4%

ODDS 2.56 · IMPLIED 39.1% EV +26.5%

Draw 25.8%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -9.7%

Palestino (A) 24.8%

ODDS 2.56 · IMPLIED 39.1% EV -21.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Everton face Palestino in Chile - Primera División on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Everton a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Palestino 25%, so Everton are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Everton and 0.9 for Palestino (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Everton are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.00 for Palestino. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +26.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Everton vs Palestino Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

More Chile - Primera División Predictions