Colo-Colo vs Cobresal Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Chile - Primera División Regular Season - 15 Estadio Monumental David Arellano· Santiago de Chile Saturday, June 13, 2026 21:30

Colo-Colo PPG 2.14

VS PENDING

Cobresal PPG 0.57

Away· +31.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Colo-Colo face Cobresal in Chile - Primera División on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Colo-Colo a 62% chance, the draw 20% and Cobresal 18%, so Colo-Colo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Colo-Colo and 0.9 for Cobresal (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Colo-Colo are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 0.57 for Cobresal. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +31.8%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 62.0%

Odds: 1.29 EV: -20.0%

Draw 19.9%

Odds: 5.10 EV: +0.9%

Away 18.0%

Odds: 8.50 EV: +31.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.2% Odds: 1.50 -3.7%

Over 3.5 39.8% Odds: 2.20 -12.4%

BTTS 55.7% Odds: 1.80 +0.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0

2nd 2-1

3rd 1-1

4th 3-0

5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Colo-Colo

2.37

Cobresal

0.86

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -3.7% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-3.7%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 48%

BTTS/No 52%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 4.9%

Bet Hit 54% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs P(Home)=62.0%