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Chile - Primera División logo Chile flag Chile - Primera División Regular Season - 14 Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero· Talcahuano Sunday, May 31, 2026 19:00
Huachipato logo Huachipato PPG 2.50
0-3 MISS
U. Catolica logo U. Catolica PPG 1.43
HomeO15· +24.0% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.2%
Odds: 2.90 EV: +16.6%
Draw 24.5%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -10.0%
Away 35.3%
Odds: 2.22 EV: -21.6%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.90 +14.2%
Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 3.20 +15.8%
BTTS 61.0% Odds: 1.67 +1.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Huachipato
1.60
U. Catolica
1.47

Model Suggestion

BTTS +1.9% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: HomeO15(+24.0%)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=40.2%

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