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Coquimbo Unido vs OHiggins Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 16:30

Coquimbo Unido

PPG 1.67 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

OHiggins

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 64.2% vs bookmaker-implied 50.0% — a clear edge.

+28.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-15.5%0-23.6%0-31.6%0-4+0.7%1 1-07.6%1-110.2%1-26.8%1-33.0%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.1%2-19.5%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.4%3-15.9%3-23.9%3-31.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-14.2%4+-22.8%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.8% 56.2% 1.78 -11.4%

Draw 23.3% 29.9% 3.35 -13.2%

Away win 26.9% 23.3% 4.30 +9.4%

Over 2.5 64.2% 50.0% 2.00 +28.4%

Over 3.5 39.8% 29.4% 3.40 +35.3%

BTTS 61.6% 55.6% 1.80 +10.9%

Home O1.5 59.1% 51.8% 1.93 +14.1%

Away O1.5 33.0% 28.2% 3.55 +17.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 28%

ROI 12.0%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.6%

H 50% / xG 1.9-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.8%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Coquimbo Unido1.9

OHiggins1.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

COQUIMBO UNIDO · PPG 1.67

OHIGGINS · PPG 1.40

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Coquimbo Unido (H) 49.8%

ODDS 1.78 · IMPLIED 56.2% EV -11.4%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -13.2%

OHiggins (A) 26.9%

ODDS 4.30 · IMPLIED 23.3% EV +9.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Coquimbo Unido face OHiggins in Chile - Primera División on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Coquimbo Unido a 50% chance, the draw 23% and OHiggins 27%, so Coquimbo Unido are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Coquimbo Unido and 1.3 for OHiggins (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Coquimbo Unido are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.40 for OHiggins. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +35.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Coquimbo Unido vs OHiggins Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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