Leagues / POLAND / II Liga - East

II Liga - East

POLAND · 85 MATCHES TRACKED · 15 APR 2026 – 5 SEPT 2026

▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE

MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE

Upcoming II Liga - East predictions

5 FIXTURES WITH ODDS · MODEL PICK, PROBABILITY AND EV PER MATCH

DateMatchPickProbOddsEV

4 SEPT16:00 Stal Stalowa Wola vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz Over 2.5 62% 1.80 +11%5 SEPT10:00 Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz BTTS 59% 1.67 -2%5 SEPT11:00 Sokół Kleczew vs Górnik Łęczna BTTS 62% 1.60 -2%5 SEPT15:00 Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Resovia Rzeszów BTTS 55% 1.62 -12%5 SEPT18:00 Lechia Zielona Góra vs Świt Skolwin HO1.5 — — —

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 74 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

44.6%

1X2

33/74

50.0%

O/U 2.5

37/74

54.1%

BTTS

40/74

47.3%

Exact score

35/74

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

65.0%

Hit rate

13/20

1.73

Avg odds

+11.7%

ROI

+2.3u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

OVER 2.5 · N=9 44.4% HIT · AVG 1.71 · -24.4% ROI

BTTS · N=8 87.5% HIT · AVG 1.71 · +51.3% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.85 · -15.0% ROI

HOME WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.73 · +73.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

50%

Hit

-19.0%

ROI

✓ Solid

Bets

67%

Hit

+9.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

29%

Hit

-50.0%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

100%

Hit

+74.3%

ROI

Match log

74 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

August 2026 // 13 PICKS · 5 HIT · 8 MISS

29 AUG Sokół Kleczew vs Chojniczanka Chojnice Over 2.5 +0% 1–1 MISS 29 AUG Hutnik Kraków vs Stal Stalowa Wola Over 2.5 +10% 2–1 HIT 29 AUG Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ Over 2.5 +3% 1–3 HIT 28 AUG Resovia Rzeszów vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz BTTS -12% 0–3 MISS 23 AUG Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Olimpia Grudziądz BTTS -6% 1–2 HIT 22 AUG Podhale Nowy Targ vs Resovia Rzeszów Over 2.5 +14% 1–1 MISS 21 AUG Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stal Stalowa Wola Over 2.5 +11% 2–0 MISS 15 AUG Śląsk Wrocław II vs Chojniczanka Chojnice Over 2.5 +3% 1–2 HIT 15 AUG Świt Skolwin vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz Over 2.5 -6% 0–1 MISS 15 AUG Sokół Kleczew vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała BTTS -17% 3–0 MISS 8 AUG Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Kraków — NO PICK 2–5 —8 AUG Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Stal Stalowa Wola BTTS -9% 3–1 HIT 2 AUG Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice — NO PICK 3–0 —1 AUG Hutnik Kraków vs Świt Skolwin BTTS -17% 3–0 MISS 1 AUG Sokół Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ BTTS -2% 0–0 MISS