Leagues / POLAND / II Liga - East
II Liga - East
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 58 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
46.6%
1X2
27/58
50.0%
O/U 2.5
29/58
53.4%
BTTS
31/58
50.0%
Exact score
29/58
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
53
Settled
56.6%
Hit rate
30/53
1.63
Avg odds
-7.9%
ROI
-4.2u
Picks by market
BTTS · N=31 58.1% HIT · AVG 1.63 · -4.7% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=17 52.9% HIT · AVG 1.59 · -16.5% ROI
HOME WIN · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.59 · +13.3% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.85 · -15.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-19.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
4
Bets
25%
Hit
-58.3%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
2
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
45
Bets
62%
Hit
+1.2%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 15 PICKS · 9 HIT · 6 MISS
30 MAY Hutnik Krakow vs Stalowa Wola BTTS -13% 0–1 MISS30 MAY Warta Poznan vs Resovia Rzeszow Over 2.5 -16% 2–2 HIT30 MAY Swit Skolwin vs O. Grudziadz Over 2.5 -8% 0–1 MISS30 MAY Sandecja Nowy vs Z. Sosnowiec Over 2.5 -7% 1–0 MISS30 MAY Podbeskidzie vs NKP Podhale BTTS -14% 2–1 HIT30 MAY Chojniczanka vs Rekord Bielsko BTTS -7% 2–0 MISS30 MAY LKS Lodz B vs Sokol Kleczew BTTS -9% 1–2 HIT30 MAY Kalisz vs Unia Skierniewi Over 2.5 -4% 2–1 HIT24 MAY O. Grudziadz vs Hutnik Krakow BTTS -4% 2–2 HIT23 MAY NKP Podhale vs Warta Poznan BTTS -11% 2–2 HIT23 MAY Sokol Kleczew vs Sandecja Nowy BTTS +4% 2–5 HIT23 MAY Slask Wroclaw B vs LKS Lodz B Over 2.5 -8% 4–1 HIT23 MAY Rekord Bielsko vs Swit Skolwin BTTS -9% 1–0 MISS23 MAY Resovia Rzeszow vs Podbeskidzie BTTS -22% 1–1 HIT22 MAY Z. Sosnowiec vs Kalisz BTTS -13% 3–0 MISS