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Sokół Kleczew vs Górnik Łęczna Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Matchday 7 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 11:00

Sokół Kleczew

PPG 1.47 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWLD

UPCOMING

Górnik Łęczna

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWDW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-16.8%0-25.0%0-32.5%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.4%1-110.9%1-28.0%1-33.9%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.9%2-18.7%2-26.4%2-33.1%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.2%3-14.6%3-23.4%3-31.7%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.6%4+-21.9%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.9% 36.4% 2.75 +7.0%

Draw 24.0% 30.8% 3.25 -13.2%

Away win 37.1% 46.5% 2.15 -20.2%

Over 2.5 61.3% 58.8% 1.70 +4.2%

Over 3.5 39.5% 38.2% 2.62 +3.5%

BTTS 61.5% 62.5% 1.60 -1.6%

Home O1.5 47.7% 42.0% 2.38 +13.5%

Away O1.5 42.2% 50.0% 2.00 -15.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 74 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 11.7%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.5%

H 39% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 1–2 8.0%

#3 2–1 8.7%

#4 2–0 5.9%

#5 1–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sokół Kleczew1.6

Górnik Łęczna1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SOKÓŁ KLECZEW · PPG 1.47

GÓRNIK ŁĘCZNA · PPG 1.44

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.12 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sokół Kleczew (H) 38.9%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +7.0%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -13.2%

Górnik Łęczna (A) 37.1%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -20.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sokół Kleczew face Górnik Łęczna in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sokół Kleczew a 39% chance, the draw 24% and Górnik Łęczna 37%, so Sokół Kleczew are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sokół Kleczew and 1.5 for Górnik Łęczna (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sokół Kleczew are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.44 for Górnik Łęczna. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +15.0%.

Sokół Kleczew vs Górnik Łęczna Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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