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Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Stal Stalowa Wola Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 15:00

Rekord Bielsko-Biała

PPG 1.85 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Stal Stalowa Wola

PPG 1.72 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-16.7%0-24.2%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.0%1-111.2%1-27.0%1-32.9%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.6%2-19.4%2-25.9%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.2%3-15.3%3-23.3%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.2%4+-22.0%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% 35.7% 2.80 +36.6%

Draw 24.5% 34.5% 2.90 -17.4%

Away win 26.7% 43.5% 2.30 -23.2%

Over 2.5 53.5% 52.6% 1.90 +1.7%

Over 3.5 32.3% 30.8% 3.25 +5.0%

BTTS 54.6% 59.9% 1.67 -8.8%

Home O1.5 49.2% 38.2% 2.62 +28.9%

Away O1.5 35.7% 45.5% 2.20 -21.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 49% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 7.6%

#4 1–0 9.0%

#5 0–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rekord Bielsko-Biała1.7

Stal Stalowa Wola1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

REKORD BIELSKO-BIAŁA · PPG 1.85

STAL STALOWA WOLA · PPG 1.72

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rekord Bielsko-Biała (H) 48.8%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +36.6%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -17.4%

Stal Stalowa Wola (A) 26.7%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -23.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rekord Bielsko-Biała face Stal Stalowa Wola in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rekord Bielsko-Biała a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Stal Stalowa Wola 27%, so Rekord Bielsko-Biała are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Rekord Bielsko-Biała and 1.2 for Stal Stalowa Wola (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rekord Bielsko-Biała are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 1.72 for Stal Stalowa Wola. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +43.5%. This match finished 3-1.

Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Stal Stalowa Wola Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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