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Sokół Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 15:00

Sokół Kleczew

PPG 1.36 · HOME

UPCOMING

Podhale Nowy Targ

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-19.0%0-26.8%0-33.4%0-4+1.8%1 1-07.8%1-111.8%1-28.9%1-34.5%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.1%2-17.7%2-25.8%2-32.9%2-4+1.5%3 3-02.2%3-13.4%3-22.5%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 39.3% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 58.1% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob58.1%

A 39% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 0–0 6.0%

#4 2–1 7.7%

#5 0–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sokół Kleczew1.3

Podhale Nowy Targ1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SOKÓŁ KLECZEW · PPG 1.36

PODHALE NOWY TARG · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sokół Kleczew (H) 36.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Podhale Nowy Targ (A) 39.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sokół Kleczew face Podhale Nowy Targ in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sokół Kleczew a 36% chance, the draw 24% and Podhale Nowy Targ 39%, so Podhale Nowy Targ are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sokół Kleczew and 1.5 for Podhale Nowy Targ (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sokół Kleczew are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.21 for Podhale Nowy Targ.

Sokół Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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