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Al Tadhamon vs Kazma Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Matchday 1 ·Thursday, August 27, 2026, 18:00

Al Tadhamon

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

LL ···

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kazma

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

LAST 5

WD ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 49.2% vs bookmaker-implied 50.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-113.7%0-27.7%0-32.9%0-4+1.1%1 1-011.9%1-113.4%1-27.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.0%2 2-05.8%2-16.6%2-23.7%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.9%3-12.2%3-21.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.9% 14.4% 6.94 +135.3%

Draw 28.3% 24.4% 4.10 +9.6%

Away win 37.8% 70.9% 1.41 -46.7%

Over 2.5 43.7% 57.1% 1.75 -23.5%

Over 3.5 22.4% — — —

BTTS 49.2% 50.0% 2.00 -1.6%

Home O1.5 30.9% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 17.1%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.2%

D 28% / xG 1.0-1.1 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–1 13.7%

#3 0–0 12.1%

#4 1–0 11.9%

#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Tadhamon1.0

Kazma1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.7% · O3.5 PROB 22.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AL TADHAMON · PPG 1.17

KAZMA · PPG 1.71

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.15, combined xG 2.11 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al Tadhamon (H) 33.9%

ODDS 6.94 · IMPLIED 14.4% EV +135.3%

Draw 28.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +9.6%

Kazma (A) 37.8%

ODDS 1.41 · IMPLIED 70.9% EV -46.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Tadhamon face Kazma in Kuwait - Premier League on Thursday, August 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Tadhamon a 34% chance, the draw 28% and Kazma 38%, so Kazma are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Al Tadhamon and 1.1 for Kazma (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Tadhamon are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.71 for Kazma. This match finished 1-3.

Al Tadhamon vs Kazma Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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