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Al Fahaheel vs Al Qadsia Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Championship Playoffs - 4 ·Thursday, June 25, 2026, 16:05

Al Fahaheel

PPG 1.10 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Qadsia

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.5 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 53.8% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-112.8%0-210.4%0-35.7%0-4+3.3%1 1-07.2%1-111.7%1-29.5%1-35.2%1-4+3.1%2 2-03.3%2-15.4%2-24.4%2-32.4%2-4+1.4%3 3-01.0%3-11.6%3-21.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 22.5% 6.00 +21.0%

Draw 25.6% 4.20 +4.5%

Away win 51.9% 1.45 -24.7%

Over 2.5 53.8% 1.73 -6.9%

Over 3.5 32.6% 2.80 -8.7%

BTTS 53.0% 1.83 -3.0%

Win probability 1X2

Al Fahaheel (H) 22.5%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +21.0%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +4.5%

Al Qadsia (A) 51.9%

ODDS 1.45 · IMPLIED 69.0% EV -24.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 64%

ROI 5.7%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob53.0%

A 52% / xG 0.9-1.6 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 0–1 12.8%

#3 0–2 10.4%

#4 0–0 7.8%

#5 1–2 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Fahaheel0.9

Al Qadsia1.6

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL FAHAHEEL · PPG 1.10

AL QADSIA · PPG 1.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.10), Away AVERAGE (1.30)

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Fahaheel face Al Qadsia in Kuwait - Premier League on Thursday, June 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Fahaheel a 23% chance, the draw 26% and Al Qadsia 52%, so Al Qadsia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Al Fahaheel and 1.6 for Al Qadsia (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Fahaheel are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 1.30 for Al Qadsia. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +36.5%.

Al Fahaheel vs Al Qadsia Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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