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Kazma vs Al Salmiyah Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Championship Playoffs - 5 ·Monday, June 29, 2026, 19:15

Kazma

PPG 1.30 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Salmiyah

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.1%0-114.9%0-26.9%0-32.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.5%1-113.4%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.6%2-16.1%2-22.8%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.0%3-11.8%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.4% 40.8% 2.45 -13.3%

Draw 31.0% 34.5% 2.90 -10.1%

Away win 33.6% 33.8% 2.96 -0.5%

Over 2.5 37.3% 45.5% 2.20 -17.9%

Over 3.5 19.7% 25.0% 4.00 -12.7%

BTTS 48.1% 54.6% 1.83 -12.0%

Home O1.5 32.5% 38.5% 2.60 -15.5%

Away O1.5 22.9% 33.9% 2.95 -19.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -12.8%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.1%

D 31% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.1%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 0–1 14.9%

#4 1–0 14.5%

#5 0–2 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kazma0.9

Al Salmiyah0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KAZMA · PPG 1.30

AL SALMIYAH · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.30), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Kazma (H) 35.4%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -13.3%

Draw 31.0%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -10.1%

Al Salmiyah (A) 33.6%

ODDS 2.96 · IMPLIED 33.8% EV -0.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kazma face Al Salmiyah in Kuwait - Premier League on Monday, June 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kazma a 35% chance, the draw 31% and Al Salmiyah 34%, so Kazma are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Kazma and 0.9 for Al Salmiyah (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kazma are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.50 for Al Salmiyah.

Kazma vs Al Salmiyah Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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