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Al Qadsia vs Al Kuwait Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Championship Playoffs - 5 ·Monday, June 29, 2026, 16:05

Al Qadsia

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Kuwait

PPG 1.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.8% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-110.4%0-27.7%0-33.8%0-4+2.0%1 1-08.3%1-112.2%1-29.1%1-34.5%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.8%2-17.2%2-25.3%2-32.6%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.9%3-12.8%3-22.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.3% 29.0% 3.45 +11.4%

Draw 24.9% 29.4% 3.40 -9.2%

Away win 42.8% 50.5% 1.98 -15.3%

Over 2.5 53.9% 54.6% 1.83 -1.4%

Over 3.5 32.6% 32.3% 3.10 +1.1%

BTTS 55.8% 59.9% 1.67 -6.8%

Home O1.5 35.5% 35.1% 2.85 +1.2%

Away O1.5 49.7% 51.3% 1.95 -3.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -12.8%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.8%

A 43% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 0–0 7.0%

#4 0–1 10.4%

#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Qadsia1.2

Al Kuwait1.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL QADSIA · PPG 2.00

AL KUWAIT · PPG 1.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.89)

Win probability 1X2

Al Qadsia (H) 32.3%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV +11.4%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -9.2%

Al Kuwait (A) 42.8%

ODDS 1.98 · IMPLIED 50.5% EV -15.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Qadsia face Al Kuwait in Kuwait - Premier League on Monday, June 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Qadsia a 32% chance, the draw 25% and Al Kuwait 43%, so Al Kuwait are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Al Qadsia and 1.5 for Al Kuwait (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Qadsia are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.89 for Al Kuwait. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +11.4%.

Al Qadsia vs Al Kuwait Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Kuwait - Premier League Predictions