Today / Kuwait - Premier League / Al Fahaheel vs Al Qadsia

Al Fahaheel vs Al Qadsia Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Matchday 1 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 18:00

Al Fahaheel

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

LL ···

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Al Qadsia

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

LAST 5

WL ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.8% vs bookmaker-implied 52.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-111.7%0-29.2%0-34.8%0-4+2.7%1 1-07.7%1-112.0%1-29.4%1-34.9%1-4+2.7%2 2-03.9%2-16.2%2-24.8%2-32.5%2-4+1.4%3 3-01.4%3-12.1%3-21.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.5% 14.7% 6.80 +56.3%

Draw 24.7% 24.4% 4.10 +0.8%

Away win 46.8% 70.4% 1.42 -33.5%

Over 2.5 52.8% 56.5% 1.77 -6.5%

Over 3.5 31.1% 33.9% 2.95 -8.3%

BTTS 53.8% 52.6% 1.90 +2.2%

Home O1.5 30.9% 22.2% 4.50 +39.1%

Away O1.5 47.9% 63.7% 1.57 -24.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 17.1%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob53.8%

A 47% / xG 1.0-1.6 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 0–1 11.7%

#3 1–2✓ 9.4%

#4 0–2 9.2%

#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Fahaheel1.0

Al Qadsia1.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.1%

Form & verdict PPG

AL FAHAHEEL · PPG 1.17

AL QADSIA · PPG 1.47

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.54 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Al Fahaheel (H) 28.5%

ODDS 6.80 · IMPLIED 14.7% EV +56.3%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +0.8%

Al Qadsia (A) 46.8%

ODDS 1.42 · IMPLIED 70.4% EV -33.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Fahaheel face Al Qadsia in Kuwait - Premier League on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Fahaheel a 28% chance, the draw 25% and Al Qadsia 47%, so Al Qadsia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Al Fahaheel and 1.6 for Al Qadsia (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Fahaheel are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.47 for Al Qadsia. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +48.2%. This match finished 1-2.

Al Fahaheel vs Al Qadsia Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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