Today / Kuwait - Premier League / Al Shabab vs Al Jahra

Al Shabab vs Al Jahra Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Matchday 1 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 15:45

Al Shabab

PPG 1.06 · HOME

LAST 5

WD ···

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Al Jahra

PPG 0.90 · AWAY

LAST 5

LW ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.3% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-18.2%0-24.5%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.2%1-112.3%1-26.7%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.4%2-19.2%2-25.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.2%3-14.6%3-22.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.4%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.0% 45.5% 2.20 +1.2%

Draw 25.3% 34.7% 2.88 -16.3%

Away win 28.7% 33.3% 3.00 -8.3%

Over 2.5 52.7% 51.3% 1.95 +2.8%

Over 3.5 31.0% 30.8% 3.25 +0.8%

BTTS 54.3% 57.1% 1.75 -5.0%

Home O1.5 40.1% 42.0% 2.38 -4.6%

Away O1.5 33.0% 33.3% 3.00 -1.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 17.1%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.3%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 11.2%

#3 2–1 9.2%

#4 2–0 8.4%

#5 0–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Shabab1.5

Al Jahra1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SHABAB · PPG 1.06

AL JAHRA · PPG 0.90

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.40 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al Shabab (H) 46.0%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +1.2%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -16.3%

Al Jahra (A) 28.7%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -8.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Shabab face Al Jahra in Kuwait - Premier League on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Shabab a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Al Jahra 29%, so Al Shabab are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Al Shabab and 1.1 for Al Jahra (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Shabab are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 0.90 for Al Jahra. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +7.6%. This match finished 3-2.

Al Shabab vs Al Jahra Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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