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Liniers vs Deportivo Armenio Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 32 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 18:00

Liniers

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLWD

3 – 1

FULL TIME

Deportivo Armenio

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.9%0-115.7%0-26.9%0-32.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.0%1-113.2%1-25.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.3%2-15.6%2-22.5%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.8%3-11.6%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.7% 38.2% 2.62 -17.0%

Draw 32.6% 35.7% 2.80 -8.7%

Away win 35.7% 35.7% 2.80 -0.0%

Over 2.5 34.2% 33.9% 2.95 +0.9%

Over 3.5 18.0% 16.7% 6.00 +4.8%

BTTS 43.7% 44.4% 2.25 -1.7%

Home O1.5 30.9% 30.3% 3.30 +2.0%

Away O1.5 25.7% 29.0% 3.45 -6.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 173 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 68%

ROI 17.6%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob43.7%

D 33% / xG 0.8-0.9 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.9%

#2 0–1 15.7%

#3 1–0 15.0%

#4 1–1 13.2%

#5 0–2 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Liniers0.8

Deportivo Armenio0.9

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

LINIERS · PPG 1.00

DEPORTIVO ARMENIO · PPG 1.07

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.04, combined xG 1.72 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Liniers (H) 31.7%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -17.0%

Draw 32.6%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -8.7%

Deportivo Armenio (A) 35.7%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -0.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Liniers face Deportivo Armenio in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Liniers a 32% chance, the draw 33% and Deportivo Armenio 36%, so Deportivo Armenio are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Liniers and 0.9 for Deportivo Armenio (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Liniers are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.07 for Deportivo Armenio. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +4.8%. This match finished 3-1.

Liniers vs Deportivo Armenio Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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