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Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Camioneros Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 33 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 18:00

Defensores Unidos

PPG 1.56 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWWD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Deportivo Camioneros

PPG 1.81 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDDWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.1%0-117.4%0-210.1%0-33.9%0-4+1.4%1 1-011.1%1-112.8%1-27.4%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-04.1%2-14.7%2-22.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.0%3-11.2%3-20.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.2% 30.3% 3.30 -6.1%

Draw 31.3% 34.7% 2.88 -9.9%

Away win 41.4% 47.6% 2.10 -13.1%

Over 2.5 37.8% 40.0% 2.50 -5.5%

Over 3.5 18.6% 22.2% 4.50 -9.8%

BTTS 47.2% 47.6% 2.10 -0.9%

Home O1.5 30.9% 26.7% 3.75 +15.9%

Away O1.5 33.0% 38.2% 2.62 -13.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 173 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 68%

ROI 17.6%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.2%

A 41% / xG 0.7-1.2 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 15.1%

#2 0–1 17.4%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 1–0 11.1%

#5 0–2 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Defensores Unidos0.7

Deportivo Camioneros1.2

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DEFENSORES UNIDOS · PPG 1.56

DEPORTIVO CAMIONEROS · PPG 1.81

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.42, combined xG 1.89 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Defensores Unidos (H) 27.2%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -6.1%

Draw 31.3%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -9.9%

Deportivo Camioneros (A) 41.4%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -13.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Defensores Unidos face Deportivo Camioneros in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Defensores Unidos a 27% chance, the draw 31% and Deportivo Camioneros 41%, so Deportivo Camioneros are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Defensores Unidos and 1.2 for Deportivo Camioneros (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Defensores Unidos are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.81 for Deportivo Camioneros. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +15.9%. This match finished 0-0.

Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Camioneros Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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