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JBK vs VPS II Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 14:00

JBK

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

VPS II

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.36 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-13.2%0-23.0%0-31.8%0-4+1.3%1 1-03.8%1-17.1%1-26.5%1-34.0%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.2%2-17.8%2-27.2%2-34.4%2-4+3.1%3 3-03.1%3-15.7%3-25.3%3-33.3%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-15.3%4+-24.9%4+-33.0%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.7% 47.2% 2.12 -5.2%

Draw 21.6% 26.7% 3.75 -11.4%

Away win 33.7% 39.2% 2.55 -14.1%

Over 2.5 68.0% 83.3% 1.20 -18.4%

Over 3.5 49.7% 63.3% 1.58 -21.5%

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 61.8% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 19%

ROI -11.7%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob69.5%

H 45% / xG 2.2-1.8 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.1%

#2 2–1 7.8%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 1–2 6.5%

#5 3–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

JBK2.2

VPS II1.8

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.0% · O3.5 PROB 49.7%

Form & verdict PPG

JBK · PPG 2.00

VPS II · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.36 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

JBK (H) 44.7%

ODDS 2.12 · IMPLIED 47.2% EV -5.2%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -11.4%

VPS II (A) 33.7%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -14.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

JBK face VPS II in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives JBK a 45% chance, the draw 22% and VPS II 34%, so JBK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for JBK and 1.8 for VPS II (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, JBK are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.17 for VPS II.

JBK vs VPS II Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group C Predictions