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VPS B vs SJK Akatemia B Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Sunday, July 19, 2026

VPS B

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

SJK Akatemia B

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-11.5%0-21.2%0-30.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-02.8%1-14.6%1-23.8%1-32.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-04.2%2-17.0%2-25.8%2-33.2%2-4+1.9%3 3-04.3%3-17.1%3-25.9%3-33.2%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-07.0%4+-111.5%4+-29.5%4+-35.2%4+-4+3.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.1% — — —

Draw 19.2% — — —

Away win 23.7% — — —

Over 2.5 72.3% — — —

Over 3.5 52.3% — — —

BTTS 69.3% — — —

Home O1.5 76.2% — — —

Away O1.5 50.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 21%

ROI -2.4%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob69.3%

H 57% / xG 3.0-1.7 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.1%

#2 2–1 7.0%

#3 3–2 5.9%

#4 2–2 5.8%

#5 4–1 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VPS B3.0

SJK Akatemia B1.7

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.3% · O3.5 PROB 52.3%

Form & verdict PPG

VPS B · PPG 1.50

SJK AKATEMIA B · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

VPS B (H) 57.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SJK Akatemia B (A) 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

VPS B face SJK Akatemia B in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Sunday, July 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VPS B a 57% chance, the draw 19% and SJK Akatemia B 24%, so VPS B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for VPS B and 1.7 for SJK Akatemia B (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VPS B are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.40 for SJK Akatemia B.

VPS B vs SJK Akatemia B Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group C Predictions