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Huima / Urho vs SJK-juniorit Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 13:00

Huima / Urho

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

SJK-juniorit

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.77 for Home, form 1.83 vs 1.17 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-11.7%0-21.1%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-03.9%1-15.1%1-23.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.6%2 2-06.0%2-17.8%2-25.0%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.2%3-17.9%3-25.1%3-32.2%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-010.1%4+-113.0%4+-28.4%4+-33.6%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.0% 64.1% 1.56 +1.4%

Draw 16.8% 23.0% 4.35 -16.2%

Away win 18.2% 26.3% 3.80 -18.5%

Over 2.5 72.6% — — —

Over 3.5 52.0% 73.5% 1.36 -29.3%

BTTS 64.5% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 37.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 19%

ROI -11.7%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob64.5%

H 65% / xG 3.1-1.3 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.9%

#2 2–1 7.8%

#3 3–0 6.2%

#4 4–1 6.1%

#5 2–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huima / Urho3.1

SJK-juniorit1.3

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HUIMA / URHO · PPG 1.83

SJK-JUNIORIT · PPG 1.17

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.77 for Home, form 1.83 vs 1.17 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Huima / Urho (H) 65.0%

ODDS 1.56 · IMPLIED 64.1% EV +1.4%

Draw 16.8%

ODDS 4.35 · IMPLIED 23.0% EV -16.2%

SJK-juniorit (A) 18.2%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -18.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Huima / Urho face SJK-juniorit in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huima / Urho a 65% chance, the draw 17% and SJK-juniorit 18%, so Huima / Urho are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Huima / Urho and 1.3 for SJK-juniorit (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huima / Urho are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.17 for SJK-juniorit.

Huima / Urho vs SJK-juniorit Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group C Predictions