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Jeonnam Dragons vs Gyeongnam FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 10:30

Jeonnam Dragons

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gyeongnam FC

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-19.5%0-27.0%0-33.4%0-4+1.7%1 1-08.2%1-112.0%1-28.9%1-34.3%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.2%2-17.7%2-25.6%2-32.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.2%3-13.2%3-22.4%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.4%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.1% 40.8% 2.45 -6.7%

Draw 26.3% 29.9% 3.35 -7.1%

Away win 35.5% 38.2% 2.62 -7.0%

Over 2.5 53.9% 51.8% 1.93 +4.0%

Over 3.5 32.8% 29.9% 3.35 +9.9%

BTTS 55.4% 58.8% 1.70 -5.8%

Home O1.5 38.5% 42.0% 2.38 -8.4%

Away O1.5 49.0% 40.8% 2.45 +20.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 26%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -35.6%

Bet Hit 37%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.4%

A 36% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 0–0 6.4%

#4 0–1 9.5%

#5 2–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jeonnam Dragons1.3

Gyeongnam FC1.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

JEONNAM DRAGONS · PPG 1.00

GYEONGNAM FC · PPG 0.86

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Jeonnam Dragons (H) 38.1%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -6.7%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -7.1%

Gyeongnam FC (A) 35.5%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -7.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeonnam Dragons face Gyeongnam FC in South Korea - K League 2 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeonnam Dragons a 38% chance, the draw 26% and Gyeongnam FC 36%, so Jeonnam Dragons are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Jeonnam Dragons and 1.5 for Gyeongnam FC (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeonnam Dragons are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.86 for Gyeongnam FC. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +20.1%.

Jeonnam Dragons vs Gyeongnam FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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